See you on Monday

I 'll be away for the weekend, so unfortunately, no suggestions until Monday/Tuesday... However, on Monday I 'll run my algorithms again for the weekend's matches and update my personal precision stats, so as to take them also into consideration for the future. (I can do this even after a match has finished, by ignoring the result :)

Enjoy your weekend!

New season, new checks

Image via WikipediaFor your information, I am currently altering my stats (not the profit/loss page, my personal files), so as to be more up-to-date. I do this for every new season, but I also consider my old stats for a shor period of time. So I will now double check my suggestions (actually triple check or more since I take a lot of factors into consideration). Consequently, you may see less suggestions for the beggining that will grow as time goes by. Noone (and especially me) wants to lose money from this blog... I will do my best to keep us in profit and make it greater!

Gijon v Santander - 25/09/2011

Suggestion	Odd	Bookmaker	Stake
Gijon	2.1	betfair	3

Mjallby v Elfsborg - 24/09/2011

Suggestion	Odd	Bookmaker	Stake
Elfsborg	2.10	bet-at-home	5

Most recent meetings

12/06/2011	Elfsborg	4-0	Mjallby
11/09/2010	Elfsborg	2-0	Mjallby
09/05/2010	Mjallby	2-0	Elfsborg

Allsvenskan

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	Pts
2	Elfsborg	26	16	3	7	51
13	Mjallby	26	8	4	14	28

Birmingham v Barnsley - 24/09/2011

Suggestion	Odd	Bookmaker	Stake
Birmingham	1.82	betfair	10

My main suggestions for this weekend. If it is a winner, then September will be profitable probably, else it will be the first month in loss. A lot of stake in this one...

Stats from betfair:

• Birmingham have won their last five home league games v Barnsley but lost a home playoff tie to the Tykes 4-0 during that period.
• Birmingham have thrown away eight points from

Oud-Heverlee Leuven v Genk - 24/09/2011

Suggestion	Odd	Bookmaker	Stake
Genk	2.00		4

Belgian Jupiler League

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	Pts
6	Genk	7	3	3	1	12
10	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	7	3	0	4	9

Real-Time Systems (book suggestion/review)

As some of you may know, the algorithms that I use in this blog are based on my master thesis in computer science. Another part of my thesis is the development of a real-time system  that acts in a smart-home environment (the field is called Ambient Intelligence).

During my research I have come across the book Real-Time Systems: Design Principles for Distributed Embedded Applications (Real-Time Systems Series), written by Hermann Kopetz, which I found extremely useful. 

It defines which computer systems are

Rayo Vallecano v Levante - 21/09/2011

Suggestion	Odd	Bookmaker	Stake
Rayo Vallecano	2.22	betfair	2

Three bets for mid-week after a succesful weekend. Let's keep it low and hope that 2 out of three will come true, so that we can have profit.

Stats from betfair:

• Rayo Vallecano (13 seasons in Primera) and Levante (seven) have never met in the top flight.
• The franjirrojos have won none of their last three matches at Vallecas against Levante in Segunda (two draws, one defeat).
• Two of Rayo's three wins at home to Levante in Segunda ended with the same result: 3-0.

Trelleborgs v GAIS - 21/09/2011

Suggestion	Odd	Bookmaker	Stake
Trelleborgs	2.84	betfair	2

A quite crazy bet, but history shows the opposite...

Most recent meetings

09/04/2011	GAIS	4-0	Trelleborgs
30/10/2010	GAIS	1-3	Trelleborgs
22/05/2010	Trelleborgs	2-0	GAIS

Halmstads v Malmo FF - 21/9/2011

Suggestion	Odd	Bookmaker	Stake
Malmo FF	1.87	betfair	2

Allsvenskan

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	Pts
8	Malmo FF	23	9	8	6	35
16	Halmstads	25	3	5	17	14

Kettering v Tamworth - 17/09/2011

Suggestion	Odd	Bookmaker	Stake
Kettering	2.46	betfair	2

7 bets for this week is also a big number for this blog. I think that these new bets are more carefully chosen, after last week's loss. Good luck and pay attention to the suggested stakes!

I will be away for some days on a sailing trip and I will come back on Tuesday, so the blog will not be updated until then (I mean the profit/loss page and the summary on the right sidebar). Good luck again!

Telford v Bath City - 17/09/2011

Suggestion	Odd	Bookmaker	Stake
Telford	2.06	betfair	2

Bath City's away form:

York City	1-0	Bath City
Forest Green	3-0	Bath City
Hayes & Yeading	1-1	Bath City
Mansfield	1-1	Bath City
Eastbourne	2-0	Bath City
Grimsby	2-2	Bath City

Southampton v Birmingham - 18/09/2011

Suggestion	Odd	Bookmaker	Stake
Southampton	1.75	betfair	10

Take a look at Southampton's home form...:

Setubal v Beira-Mar - 18/09/2011

Suggestion	Odd	Bookmaker	Stake
Setubal	2.45	bet-at-home.com	3

Setubal's home form:

Setubal	0-1	Braga
Setubal	2-1	Pacos Ferreira
Setubal	3-1	Portimonense
Setubal	0-4	Porto
Setubal	4-1	Leiria
Setubal	2-1	Nacional

Beira Mar's away form:

Guimaraes v Braga - 19/09/2011

Suggestion	Odd	Bookmaker	Stake
Braga	2.5	bet-at-home.com	2

Superliga

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	Pts
3	Braga	4	3	1	0	10
13	Guimaraes	4	1	0	3	3

Most recent meetings

Torino v Brescia - 19/09/2011

Suggestion	Odd	Bookmaker	Stake
Torino	2.07	betfair	2

Torino's home form:

Torino	2-0	Varese
Torino	1-1	Cittadella
Torino	1-0	Lumezzane
Torino	0-2	Padova
Torino	2-0	Triestina
Torino	1-1	Piacenza

Brescia's away form:

Rio Ave v Sp Lisbon - 19/09/2011

Suggestion	Odd	Bookmaker	Stake
Sp Lisbon	1.95	W. Hill	10

Most recent meetings

12/03/2011	Rio Ave	0-0	Sp Lisbon
24/10/2010	Sp Lisbon	1-0	Rio Ave
02/04/2010	Sp Lisbon	5-0	Rio Ave

Mjallby v AIK - 15/09/2011

Suggestion	Odd	Bookmaker	Stake
Mjallby	2.54	betfair	4

Only one suggestions for this week. Odds are high, stakes are low and so are the chances... A good value bet though.

Bohemians v Dundalk - 12/09/2011

Suggestion	Odd	Bookmaker	Stake
Bohemians	1.75	betfair	3

Dundalk's away form:

Drogheda	1-1	Dundalk
Drogheda	2-2	Dundalk
Derry	0-0	Dundalk
St Patricks	2-2	Dundalk
Bray	1-5	Dundalk
Shamrock Rovers	2-2	Dundalk